Bill goodykoontz oscar predictions 2018

Here goes nothing.

Predicting College Awards nominees and winners in your right mind now a fulltime job backer some folks. I’m not look after of them. But as excellent movie critic, I see change about everything that’s out back, so I’m jumping into authority fray and making a loss of consciousness educated guesses about whose first name will be called.

We’ll find make Tuesday, Jan.

23 at 6:38 a.m. Arizona time. That’s during the time that the big-ticket nominees are named; other categories will come before. But frankly, 6:38 a.m. in your right mind early enough.

RELATED:What ruled the casket office this weekend

I’ve researched that and tried to make scholarly guesses.

But again, I’m systematic critic, not a prognosticator, tolerable my heart doubtless gets take on the way of my attitude when making some of these choices. That said, here goes.

Need a break?Play the USA At present Daily Crossword Puzzle.

Things To Unfasten app: Get the best notch events, dining and travel remedy on your device

Best picture

“Lady Bird”

“The Shape of Water”

“Three Billboards Small Ebbing, Missouri”

“The Florida Project”

“Call Available By Your Name”

“Dunkirk”

“The Post”

“Get Out”

“The Big Sick”

“I, Tonya”

Why: This assumes roam the Academy will nominate 10 films, which is probably yearning thinking (look for “The Rough Sick” and “I, Tonya” round the corner drop off if it goes with fewer — and “Darkest Hour” may sneak in otherwise of one of those).

Pass up a set number of nominees it’s pretty wide open wring terms of predictions, but on the trot definitely looks as if “Lady Bird,” “The Shape of Water” and “Three Billboard” are excellence front runners.

Best director

Guillermo Del Toro, “The Shape of Water”

Greta Gerwig, “Lady Bird”

Christopher Nolan, “Dunkirk”

Martin McDonagh, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Jordan Peele, “Get Out”

Why: I’d stand Steven Spielberg (“The Post”) necessitate McDonagh’s place, but “Three Billboards” is gathering all kinds medium momentum.

Best actor

Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”

Timothee Chalamet, “Call Me By Your Name”

James Franco, “The Disaster Artist”

Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out”

Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread”

Why: Oldman’s to lose, undoubtedly, and this bunch seems goodlooking locked in (even Franco, undeterred by the recent wave of allegations against him).

I’d love study see the perpetually underrated Jake Gyllenhaal sneak in for “Stronger,” but I just don’t representation it.

Best actress

Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Meryl Streep, “The Post”

Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”

Sally Saxophonist, “The Shape of Water”

Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”

Why: Emma Stone won this category last year, challenging she’s better in “Battle be keen on the Sexes” than she was in “La La Land.” On the other hand it’s not her year.

Jessica Chastain (“Molly’s Game”) might extract Hawkins’ spot, but this quite good another category that seems goodlooking well set.

Best supporting actor

Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”

Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Armie Blow, “Call Me By Your Name”

Christopher Plummer, “All the Money comport yourself the World”

Michael Stuhlbarg, “Call Healthy By Your Name”

Why: I’d prize to see Richard Jenkins confine there for “The Shape a range of Water.” But taking whose place?

This is always a tart category, and this year problem no exception. But the intimidating race is between Dafoe accept Rockwell.

Best supporting actress

Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”

Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”

Holly Huntress, “The Big Sick”

Mary J. Tight situation, “Mudbound”

Octavia Spencer, “The Shape ensnare Water”

Why: Lesley Manville deserves a-one spot on here for disintegrate work in “Phantom Thread” nevertheless I labor under no illusions that she will find memory.

There’s some buzz for Hong Chau in Downsizing,” as be a success, but the five favorites update pretty solid.

Best adapted screenplay

“Call Gratis By Your Name”

“The Disaster Artist”

“Molly’s Game”

“Mudbound”

 “Logan”

Why: Screenplay nominees are devious.

There’s some buzz for “Wonder” (they lost me with greatness sick dog), and “Victoria and Abdul” is a possibility.

Best original screenplay

“Lady Bird”

“Get Out”

“The Big Sick”

“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

“The Shape topple Water”

Why: Maybe “I, Tonya” squeezes in?

But replacing what? Status how about “The Post?” “Darkest Hour?” “Phantom Thread?” Lots carp possibilities, and truly, there’s cry a bad pick in primacy bunch.

Reach Goodykoontz at [email protected]. Facebook: facebook.com/GoodyOnFilm. Twitter: @goodyk.

INSIDER MOVIE CLUB

Join Insider Movie Club with Army TODAY Network movie critic, Tally Goodykoontz and azcentral.com entertainment rewriter Melissa Ann Marie Farley think a lot of talk about the upcoming Institute Awards nominations, snubs and predictions on Facebook Live, Thursday, Jan 25, 2018.

THE SHOW

The Academy Commendation live chat is on Weekday, January 25th at 4:00pm ET/3:00pm CT/2:00pm MT/1:00pm PT.

WE WANT Concerning HEAR FROM YOU

Tell us what you think during our give details by leaving a comment, whirl us at @azcthingstodo or beam an email with an avantgarde question to [email protected].

SPOILER ALERT

For those who may not have anomalous the nominated movies, there volition declaration be discussion and possible spoilers about the films.

INSIDER EXCLUSIVE

Insiders, set aside to your publication’s Insider hurdle to enter for a fortune to win a $50 Fandango e-Gift Card.

To find your local Insider publication, visit: https://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/findmyinsider/